Predictive Models for Dropout Rates Affected by COVID-19 Using Classification and Feature Selection Techniques

Predictive Models for Dropout Rates Affected by COVID-19 Using Classification and Feature Selection Techniques

  IJETT-book-cover           
  
© 2023 by IJETT Journal
Volume-71 Issue-7
Year of Publication : 2023
Author : Patchara Nasa-Ngium, Wongpanya S. Nuankaew, Kanakarn Phanniphong, Phaisarn Jeefoo, Pratya Nuankaew
DOI : 10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V71I7P233

How to Cite?

Patchara Nasa-Ngium, Wongpanya S. Nuankaew, Kanakarn Phanniphong, Phaisarn Jeefoo, Pratya Nuankaew, "Predictive Models for Dropout Rates Affected by COVID-19 Using Classification and Feature Selection Techniques," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, vol. 71, no. 7, pp. 349-356, 2023. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V71I7P233

Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak in Thailand has severely affected students in higher education. This research, therefore, had three significant objectives 1) to develop a model to predict the dropout rate and graduation rate of students in tertiary education, 2) to assess the effectiveness of the prediction model, and 3) to determine the contributing factors that affect the dropout rate and the graduation rate of students in higher education. This research highlighted the students’ academic achievement in the Bachelor of Business Administration Program in Management program at the Faculty of Business Administration and Information Technology at the Rajamangala University of Technology Tawan-ok: Chakrabongse Bhuvanarth Campus, Bangkok, Thailand. The data collected was 547 students in this educational program during the academic year 2015 – 2022. It contains 14,402 transactions. The research tool used educational data mining development and applied machine learning techniques for factor analysis. The research results found that the COVID-19 pandemic had significant implications for the reduced graduation of students in the Business Administration Program in Management programs. It was also found that factors related to 21st-century skills influenced the student’s termination.

Keywords
Academic achievement model, COVID-19, Dropout analysis, Educational data mining, Feature selection.

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